VeChain (VET), a well-established cryptocurrency focused on supply chain solutions, has seen a noteworthy 37% price increase recently. However, the token is encountering a significant hurdle as it battles to surpass the $0.032 mark. This price point has become a critical battleground, with technical indicators hinting at both potential bullish and bearish scenarios for VET’s future.

Current Price Action and Challenges

Despite a positive rebound, VeChain is facing substantial resistance around $0.032. The price has been fluctuating near this level, indicating underlying tension and uncertainty. Currently, VET is trading at roughly $0.029, reflecting a minor decline. This ongoing struggle highlights the challenges VeChain faces in establishing a stable upward trend.

Recent Surge and Market Conditions

The recent surge in VeChain’s price was fueled by a broader market recovery and excitement surrounding the upcoming launch of VeBetterDAO. This positive sentiment saw VET rally from a low of $0.02254, marking a robust 42% increase. However, the token has yet to decisively break through the overhead resistance, which continues to be a significant barrier to its price progression.

Technical Analysis: A Falling Pattern and Potential Reversal

Examining VeChain’s price movement on a 4-hour chart reveals a falling channel pattern. This technical formation suggests a potential price decline, especially if VET fails to hold above $0.030. The 100 EMA, a key moving average in this timeframe, aligns closely with the support trendline of the falling channel. A breakdown below this support could lead VET to test lower price levels, potentially reaching $0.027.

Mixed Signals from Indicators

Key technical indicators are sending mixed messages. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and its signal line are hinting at a bearish crossover, suggesting increased selling pressure. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart shows a gradual sideways movement, with bullish divergence hinting at a potential price recovery. These indicators suggest that while there are bearish pressures, the possibility of a bullish reversal remains.

Bullish Scenario: Can VET Reach $0.050?

Despite the current hurdles, VeChain’s potential for a bullish breakout is still on the table. A successful break above the $0.030 resistance could lead to a surge towards $0.050. If VET manages to overcome the secondary resistance trendline in the daily chart, it could initiate a strong upward cycle.

Fibonacci Levels and Price Targets

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to VeChain’s price action provides insight into potential future movements. The 50% Fibonacci level at $0.036 is a crucial target for VET. Sustained bullish momentum could push the price beyond this level, with a possibility of reaching the $0.050 mark. If the bullish trend continues, the price might even surge to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at $0.069.

Conclusion: A Critical Juncture

VeChain stands at a critical crossroads, grappling with resistance at $0.030 and showing potential for both a bullish breakout and a bearish decline. The recent price surge, along with technical patterns and indicators, suggests that the altcoin’s future trajectory hinges on overcoming key resistance levels and managing selling pressure. Investors should closely monitor VeChain’s price movements and technical indicators to gauge its potential direction. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether VET can solidify its gains and push towards higher price targets or face further declines.

By Joadin Maina

Beyond the hype, I untangle the web3 revolution, guiding curious minds through the labyrinth of decentralized possibilities.