• Solana’s DEX volume declines sharply, hinting at a potential downturn for SOL.
  • SOL’s price may test lower support levels around $145.90 if current trends continue.

The daily trading volume on Solana’s decentralized exchanges (DEX) has experienced a significant drop, raising concerns about the future of SOL. As of May 26, AMBCrypto’s analysis of Artemis’ dashboard indicated a volume of $984 million, a substantial decrease from over $1.5 billion just three days prior. This sharp decline is a stark contrast to Solana’s record-breaking DEX volume of $60 billion in April, suggesting a potential shift in the blockchain’s fortunes.

Memecoin Frenzy Fades

The surge in Solana’s DEX volume in April can be largely attributed to a frenzy surrounding meme coins launched on the network. However, the recent downturn indicates that the excitement might be cooling off. The decrease in memecoin activity is significant because it directly impacts the demand for SOL, Solana’s native token. Memecoins often require SOL for transactions, so a drop in memecoin trading could lead to reduced demand for SOL.

As of the latest data, SOL’s price stood at $161.49, down from nearly $190 a few days prior. If the DEX volume continues to decline, SOL’s price could follow suit, potentially testing lower support levels around $145.90.

Market Indicators Signal Weakness

Further analysis reveals other concerning trends for Solana. One key indicator is the Open Interest (OI) in Solana’s contracts. Data from Sentiment shows that the OI has fallen to $1.90 billion, down from almost $2.20 billion on May 20. OI represents the total value of all open positions in a contract; an increase in OI usually signals that more money is entering the market, which is bullish. However, the recent decrease suggests that liquidity is being withdrawn from SOL contracts, weakening the token’s potential for an uptrend.

This decline in OI coincides with a decrease in SOL’s price from $188.45, further indicating that market strength is waning. If this trend persists, SOL could see further declines, potentially dropping to the $145.90 support level.

Competitive Pressures

Adding to Solana’s challenges, other blockchains like Aptos (APT) and Sui (SUI) are gaining traction, potentially threatening Solana’s market position. AMBCrypto reports that Solana’s activity is lagging behind that of these competitors. The long-term viability of Aptos and Sui remains uncertain, but if they continue to outpace Solana in transactions, Solana could lose market value and price stability.

The coming weeks will be crucial for Solana. If the blockchain can reignite interest and trading volume, SOL might recover. However, continued declines could lead to significant losses, both in market value and investor confidence.

For now, the outlook for Solana remains uncertain, and stakeholders will be closely watching the DEX volumes and market activity to gauge the next steps for SOL

By Joadin Maina

Beyond the hype, I untangle the web3 revolution, guiding curious minds through the labyrinth of decentralized possibilities.